Add simulation apply workflow

addon/config.yaml

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 name: SillyHome Next
-version: "1.7.0"
+version: "1.7.3"
 slug: sillyhome_next
 description: Lernt automatisch aus deinem Verhalten und steuert freigegebene Aktoren
 url: http://192.168.6.31:3000/pino/sillyhome-next

app/actuators/models.py

@@ -154,6 +154,19 @@ class DecisionFactor(BaseModel):
     evidence: list[str] = Field(default_factory=list)
 
 
+class SimulationOutcome(BaseModel):
+    scenario_id: str = Field(pattern=r"^[a-z0-9_.-]{1,120}$")
+    actuator_entity_id: str
+    sensor_states: dict[str, str] = Field(default_factory=dict)
+    sensor_weights: dict[str, float] = Field(default_factory=dict)
+    prediction: BehaviorPrediction | None = None
+    decision_factors: list[DecisionFactor] = Field(default_factory=list)
+    would_execute: bool = False
+    blockers: list[str] = Field(default_factory=list)
+    score: float = Field(default=0.0, ge=0.0, le=1.0)
+    recommendation: str = Field(default="", max_length=700)
+
+
 class DecisionTrace(BaseModel):
     trace_id: str = Field(pattern=r"^[a-z0-9_.-]{1,120}$")
     created_at: datetime = Field(default_factory=lambda: datetime.now(timezone.utc))

app/api/v1/actuators.py

@@ -10,7 +10,14 @@ from pydantic import BaseModel, Field
 
 from app.actuators.cache_db import DashboardCache
 from app.actuators.lifecycle import ActuatorReconciliationService
-from app.actuators.models import ActuatorRecord, AnomalyEvent, FeedbackKind, ReconciliationState, SensorWeightGroup
+from app.actuators.models import (
+    ActuatorRecord,
+    AnomalyEvent,
+    FeedbackKind,
+    ReconciliationState,
+    SensorWeightGroup,
+    SimulationOutcome,
+)
 from app.actuators.models import JobQueueItem, JobQueueState, JobStatus, SafetyProfile
 from app.actuators.store import ActuatorStore
 from app.behavior.engine import BehaviorEngine
@@ -52,6 +59,14 @@ class WeightOverrideRequest(BaseModel):
     note: str | None = Field(default=None, max_length=500)
 
 
+class SimulationRequest(BaseModel):
+    sensor_states: dict[str, str] = Field(default_factory=dict)
+    sensor_weights: dict[str, float] = Field(default_factory=dict)
+    state_options: dict[str, list[str]] = Field(default_factory=dict)
+    include_current: bool = True
+    max_results: int = Field(default=8, ge=1, le=20)
+
+
 class FeedbackRequest(BaseModel):
     correct: bool
     expected_state: str | None = Field(default=None, max_length=100)
@@ -567,6 +582,28 @@ def evaluate_actuator(
         raise HTTPException(status_code=404, detail=str(exc)) from exc
 
 
+@router.post("/{actuator_entity_id}/simulate", response_model=list[SimulationOutcome])
+def simulate_actuator(
+    actuator_entity_id: str,
+    payload: SimulationRequest,
+    request: Request,
+) -> list[SimulationOutcome]:
+    try:
+        _validate_simulation_payload(payload)
+        return _behavior(request).simulate(
+            actuator_entity_id,
+            sensor_states=payload.sensor_states,
+            sensor_weights=payload.sensor_weights,
+            state_options=payload.state_options,
+            include_current=payload.include_current,
+            max_results=payload.max_results,
+        )
+    except KeyError as exc:
+        raise HTTPException(status_code=404, detail=str(exc)) from exc
+    except ValueError as exc:
+        raise HTTPException(status_code=422, detail=str(exc)) from exc
+
+
 @router.post("/{actuator_entity_id}/feedback", response_model=ActuatorRecord)
 def record_feedback(
     actuator_entity_id: str,
@@ -885,6 +922,22 @@ def _validate_weight_payload(payload: WeightOverrideRequest) -> None:
                 raise ValueError(f"Ungültige Entity-ID in Gruppe {group.name}: {entity_id}")
 
 
+def _validate_simulation_payload(payload: SimulationRequest) -> None:
+    for entity_id in [
+        *payload.sensor_states.keys(),
+        *payload.sensor_weights.keys(),
+        *payload.state_options.keys(),
+    ]:
+        if "." not in entity_id:
+            raise ValueError(f"Ungültige Entity-ID: {entity_id}")
+    for entity_id, weight in payload.sensor_weights.items():
+        if not 0.0 <= weight <= 1.0:
+            raise ValueError(f"Ungültige Gewichtung für {entity_id}: {weight}")
+    for entity_id, states in payload.state_options.items():
+        if not states:
+            raise ValueError(f"Keine Zustände für {entity_id} angegeben.")
+
+
 def _reconciliation_state_or_default(request: Request) -> ReconciliationState:
     store = getattr(request.app.state, "actuator_store", None)
     if not isinstance(store, ActuatorStore):

app/behavior/engine.py

@@ -1,6 +1,7 @@
 from __future__ import annotations
 
 import logging
+from itertools import product
 from collections.abc import Sequence
 from datetime import datetime, timedelta, timezone
 from time import perf_counter
@@ -29,6 +30,7 @@ from app.actuators.models import (
     SafetyProfile,
     SafetyStage,
     SceneSuggestion,
+    SimulationOutcome,
     TimeProfile,
 )
 from app.actuators.store import ActuatorStore
@@ -333,6 +335,7 @@ class BehaviorEngine:
             record.behavior.patterns,
             current_context=current_context,
             current_context_changed_at=current_context_changed_at,
+            context_weights=_context_weights_for(record),
             now=now,
             min_support=self._settings.min_behavior_actions,
             window_minutes=self._settings.prediction_window_minutes,
@@ -514,6 +517,116 @@ class BehaviorEngine:
         )
         return self._save_behavior(record, behavior)
 
+    def simulate(
+        self,
+        actuator_entity_id: str,
+        *,
+        sensor_states: dict[str, str],
+        sensor_weights: dict[str, float],
+        state_options: dict[str, list[str]],
+        max_results: int,
+        include_current: bool = True,
+    ) -> list[SimulationOutcome]:
+        record = self._store.get(actuator_entity_id)
+        now = datetime.now(timezone.utc)
+        current_entities = self._ha_reader.read_entities()
+        entities = {entity.entity_id: entity for entity in current_entities}
+        actuator = entities.get(actuator_entity_id)
+        if actuator is None:
+            raise KeyError("Aktor ist aktuell nicht in Home Assistant verfügbar.")
+        selected_context_ids = [
+            entity_id
+            for entity_id in [
+                record.assignment.selected_numeric_entity_id,
+                *record.assignment.selected_context_entity_ids,
+            ]
+            if entity_id
+        ]
+        if not selected_context_ids:
+            return []
+        base_context = {
+            entity_id: entities[entity_id].state
+            for entity_id in selected_context_ids
+            if entity_id in entities and entities[entity_id].state is not None
+        }
+        base_changed_at = {
+            entity_id: entities[entity_id].last_changed
+            for entity_id in base_context
+        }
+        context_weights = _context_weights_for(record)
+        for entity_id, weight in sensor_weights.items():
+            if entity_id in selected_context_ids:
+                context_weights[entity_id] = max(0.0, min(1.0, weight))
+        scenarios = _simulation_contexts(
+            base_context,
+            sensor_states=sensor_states,
+            state_options=state_options,
+            selected_context_ids=selected_context_ids,
+            include_current=include_current,
+        )
+        outcomes: list[SimulationOutcome] = []
+        for index, context in enumerate(scenarios[:64], start=1):
+            prediction_context: dict[str, str | None] = dict(context)
+            changed_at = dict(base_changed_at)
+            for entity_id, state in context.items():
+                if base_context.get(entity_id) != state:
+                    changed_at[entity_id] = now
+            prediction = predict_behavior(
+                record.behavior.patterns,
+                current_context=prediction_context,
+                current_context_changed_at=changed_at,
+                context_weights=context_weights,
+                now=now,
+                min_support=self._settings.min_behavior_actions,
+                window_minutes=self._settings.prediction_window_minutes,
+                causal_window_seconds=self._settings.prediction_interval_seconds * 2,
+                timezone_name=self._settings.timezone,
+            )
+            if prediction is not None:
+                would_execute, blockers = self._assess_safety(record, actuator.state, prediction, now)
+                recommendation = (
+                    f"Bestes Szenario: {prediction.target_state} mit {prediction.confidence:.0%}."
+                    if would_execute
+                    else (
+                        f"Vorhersage {prediction.target_state} mit {prediction.confidence:.0%}, "
+                        "aber blockiert: " + " ".join(blockers)
+                    )
+                )
+            else:
+                would_execute = False
+                blockers = ["Keine fällige Vorhersage."]
+                recommendation = "Dieses Szenario erzeugt keine fällige Vorhersage."
+            outcomes.append(
+                SimulationOutcome(
+                    scenario_id=f"scenario-{index}",
+                    actuator_entity_id=actuator_entity_id,
+                    sensor_states=context,
+                    sensor_weights={
+                        entity_id: round(context_weights.get(entity_id, 1.0), 4)
+                        for entity_id in context
+                    },
+                    prediction=prediction,
+                    decision_factors=_decision_factors_for(
+                        record,
+                        prediction_context,
+                        prediction,
+                        context_weights=context_weights,
+                    ),
+                    would_execute=would_execute,
+                    blockers=blockers,
+                    score=round(prediction.confidence if prediction is not None else 0.0, 4),
+                    recommendation=recommendation,
+                )
+            )
+        return sorted(
+            outcomes,
+            key=lambda item: (
+                item.prediction is None,
+                -item.score,
+                item.scenario_id,
+            ),
+        )[:max_results]
+
     def record_feedback(
         self,
         actuator_entity_id: str,
@@ -1379,15 +1492,21 @@ def _decision_factors_for(
     record: ActuatorRecord,
     current_context: dict[str, str | None],
     prediction: BehaviorPrediction | None,
+    *,
+    context_weights: dict[str, float] | None = None,
 ) -> list[DecisionFactor]:
     factors: list[DecisionFactor] = []
+    weights = context_weights or {}
     candidates = {
         candidate.entity_id: candidate
         for candidate in [*record.numeric_candidates, *record.context_candidates]
     }
     for entity_id, state in current_context.items():
         candidate = candidates.get(entity_id)
-        weight = candidate.effective_weight if candidate is not None else 1.0
+        weight = weights.get(
+            entity_id,
+            candidate.effective_weight if candidate is not None else 1.0,
+        )
         relevance = candidate.confidence if candidate is not None else 0.5
         contribution = round(min(1.0, weight * relevance), 4)
         factors.append(
@@ -1423,6 +1542,62 @@ def _decision_factors_for(
     return sorted(factors, key=lambda item: (-item.contribution, item.label))[:12]
 
 
+def _context_weights_for(record: ActuatorRecord) -> dict[str, float]:
+    weights = {
+        candidate.entity_id: candidate.effective_weight
+        for candidate in [*record.numeric_candidates, *record.context_candidates]
+    }
+    override = record.manual_override
+    if override is not None:
+        for entity_id, weight in override.sensor_weights.items():
+            weights[entity_id] = max(0.0, min(1.0, weight))
+        for group in override.sensor_weight_groups:
+            for entity_id in group.entity_ids:
+                weights[entity_id] = max(0.0, min(1.0, group.weight))
+    return weights
+
+
+def _simulation_contexts(
+    base_context: dict[str, str | None],
+    *,
+    sensor_states: dict[str, str],
+    state_options: dict[str, list[str]],
+    selected_context_ids: list[str],
+    include_current: bool,
+) -> list[dict[str, str]]:
+    selected = set(selected_context_ids)
+    base = {
+        entity_id: state
+        for entity_id, state in base_context.items()
+        if entity_id in selected and state is not None
+    }
+    for entity_id, state in sensor_states.items():
+        if entity_id in selected:
+            base[entity_id] = state
+    option_items = [
+        (
+            entity_id,
+            list(dict.fromkeys(state for state in states if state))[:6],
+        )
+        for entity_id, states in state_options.items()
+        if entity_id in selected and states
+    ][:6]
+    contexts: list[dict[str, str]] = []
+    if include_current or not option_items:
+        contexts.append(dict(base))
+    if option_items:
+        keys = [item[0] for item in option_items]
+        value_lists = [item[1] for item in option_items]
+        for values in product(*value_lists):
+            context = dict(base)
+            context.update(dict(zip(keys, values, strict=True)))
+            if context not in contexts:
+                contexts.append(context)
+            if len(contexts) >= 64:
+                break
+    return contexts
+
+
 def _knowledge_lines(
     record: ActuatorRecord,
     sample_count: int,
@@ -1756,6 +1931,7 @@ def predict_behavior(
     min_support: int,
     window_minutes: int,
     current_context_changed_at: dict[str, datetime | None] | None = None,
+    context_weights: dict[str, float] | None = None,
     causal_window_seconds: int = 120,
     timezone_name: str = "Europe/Berlin",
 ) -> BehaviorPrediction | None:
@@ -1786,14 +1962,10 @@ def predict_behavior(
                 for entity_id, expected in pattern.context_states.items()
                 if entity_id in current_context
             ]
-            context_score = (
-                sum(
-                    current_context[entity_id] == expected
-                    for entity_id, expected in comparable
-                )
-                / len(comparable)
-                if comparable
-                else 0.5
+            context_score = _weighted_context_score(
+                comparable,
+                current_context,
+                context_weights or {},
             )
             score = pattern.weight * (0.85 + 0.15 * context_score)
             by_state.setdefault(pattern.target_state, []).append(score)
@@ -1817,11 +1989,10 @@ def predict_behavior(
             for entity_id, expected in pattern.context_states.items()
             if entity_id in current_context
         ]
-        context_score = (
-            sum(current_context[entity_id] == expected for entity_id, expected in comparable)
-            / len(comparable)
-            if comparable
-            else 0.5
+        context_score = _weighted_context_score(
+            comparable,
+            current_context,
+            context_weights or {},
         )
         score = pattern.weight * (
             0.45 * time_score + 0.45 * context_score + 0.10 * weekday_score
@@ -1854,6 +2025,25 @@ def predict_behavior(
     )
 
 
+def _weighted_context_score(
+    comparable: list[tuple[str, str]],
+    current_context: dict[str, str | None],
+    context_weights: dict[str, float],
+) -> float:
+    if not comparable:
+        return 0.5
+    total_weight = 0.0
+    matched_weight = 0.0
+    for entity_id, expected in comparable:
+        weight = max(0.0, min(1.0, context_weights.get(entity_id, 1.0)))
+        total_weight += weight
+        if current_context.get(entity_id) == expected:
+            matched_weight += weight
+    if total_weight <= 0:
+        return 0.5
+    return matched_weight / total_weight
+
+
 def service_for_state(domain: str, target_state: str) -> str | None:
     if domain in {"fan", "humidifier", "light", "media_player", "remote", "switch"}:
         return {"on": "turn_on", "off": "turn_off"}.get(target_state)

app/main.py

@@ -117,7 +117,7 @@ async def lifespan(app: FastAPI) -> AsyncIterator[None]:
 app = FastAPI(
     title="SillyHome Next API",
     description="Lokales Smart-Home-Intelligenzsystem für Home Assistant.",
-    version="1.7.0",
+    version="1.7.3",
     lifespan=lifespan,
 )
 app.state.settings = load_settings()
@@ -255,6 +255,9 @@ async def _ha_event_listener(app: FastAPI, client: HaClient) -> None:
     ws_url = ha_url.replace("http://", "ws://").replace("https://", "wss://") + "/api/websocket"
     auth_token = cast(str, settings.ha_token)
     ws_status = getattr(app.state, "ws_status", None)
+    reconnect_delay = 1.0
+    relevant_entity_ids: set[str] = set()
+    relevant_loaded_at = 0.0
     while True:
         if ws_status is not None:
             ws_status.status = "connecting"
@@ -283,6 +286,9 @@ async def _ha_event_listener(app: FastAPI, client: HaClient) -> None:
 
                 logger.info("WebSocket-Verbindung zu Home Assistant hergestellt")
                 state_cache = await asyncio.to_thread(_load_ha_state_cache, ha_reader)
+                relevant_entity_ids = await asyncio.to_thread(_relevant_entity_ids, store)
+                relevant_loaded_at = asyncio.get_running_loop().time()
+                reconnect_delay = 1.0
                 if ws_status is not None:
                     ws_status.status = "connected"
                     ws_status.error = None
@@ -309,6 +315,12 @@ async def _ha_event_listener(app: FastAPI, client: HaClient) -> None:
                         entity_id = event_data.get("entity_id")
                         if not entity_id:
                             continue
+                        loop_time = asyncio.get_running_loop().time()
+                        if loop_time - relevant_loaded_at >= 10:
+                            relevant_entity_ids = await asyncio.to_thread(_relevant_entity_ids, store)
+                            relevant_loaded_at = loop_time
+                        if entity_id not in relevant_entity_ids:
+                            continue
                         new_state = event_data.get("new_state")
                         _update_ha_state_cache(state_cache, entity_id, new_state)
                         # Prüfe, ob Entity ein Aktor oder relevanter Kontext ist
@@ -328,17 +340,24 @@ async def _ha_event_listener(app: FastAPI, client: HaClient) -> None:
             websockets.exceptions.InvalidStatus,
             OSError,
         ) as exc:
-            logger.warning("WebSocket-Verbindung unterbrochen: %s. Wiederholung in 1s...", exc)
+            delay = reconnect_delay
+            logger.warning(
+                "WebSocket-Verbindung unterbrochen: %s. Wiederholung in %.0fs...",
+                exc,
+                delay,
+            )
             if ws_status is not None:
                 ws_status.status = "reconnecting"
                 ws_status.error = str(exc)
-            await asyncio.sleep(1)
+            await asyncio.sleep(delay)
+            reconnect_delay = min(reconnect_delay * 2, 60.0)
         except Exception as exc:
             logger.exception("Unerwarteter Fehler im Event-Listener: %s", exc)
             if ws_status is not None:
                 ws_status.status = "error"
                 ws_status.error = str(exc)
-            await asyncio.sleep(1)
+            await asyncio.sleep(reconnect_delay)
+            reconnect_delay = min(reconnect_delay * 2, 60.0)
 
 
 # Fallback: periodische Vorhersage falls Event-Stream ausfällt
@@ -353,7 +372,7 @@ async def _fallback_prediction(app: FastAPI) -> None:
         await asyncio.sleep(
             app.state.settings.prediction_interval_seconds
             if websocket_connected
-            else min(5, app.state.settings.prediction_interval_seconds)
+            else max(30, app.state.settings.prediction_interval_seconds)
         )
         # Nur ausführen, wenn WebSocket nicht verbunden ist
         ws_status = getattr(app.state, "ws_status", None)
@@ -389,15 +408,14 @@ def _update_ha_state_cache(
     )
 
 
-def _is_relevant_state_change(store: ActuatorStore, entity_id: str) -> bool:
+def _relevant_entity_ids(store: ActuatorStore) -> set[str]:
+    result: set[str] = set()
     for record in store.list():
-        if record.actuator_entity_id == entity_id:
-            return True
-        if record.assignment.selected_numeric_entity_id == entity_id:
-            return True
-        if entity_id in record.assignment.selected_context_entity_ids:
-            return True
-    return False
+        result.add(record.actuator_entity_id)
+        if record.assignment.selected_numeric_entity_id:
+            result.add(record.assignment.selected_numeric_entity_id)
+        result.update(record.assignment.selected_context_entity_ids)
+    return result
 
 
 def _ha_entity_from_event(

app/static/index.html

@@ -281,6 +281,7 @@ let discoveryLoadPromise = null;
 let overviewLoadPromise = null;
 let systemLoadPromise = null;
 let currentSensorWeightGroups = [];
+let latestSimulationResults = new Map();
 let visibleActuatorLimit = 24;
 const ACTUATOR_RESULT_LIMIT = 50;
 const STATUS_TIMEOUT_MS = 2000;
@@ -1252,6 +1253,42 @@ async function showActuator(actuatorId, evaluationMessage = "") {
         <button class="secondary" onclick="saveWeightOverrides('${escapeHtml(record.actuator_entity_id)}', true)">Als Gruppe speichern</button>
       </details>
     `;
+    const simulationControls = weightedCandidates.length ? `
+      <details class="manual-context" open>
+        <summary>Aktor-Simulation</summary>
+        <p class="muted">Teste Sensorzustände und Gewichtungen, ohne Home Assistant zu schalten. Danach kannst du die beste Gewichtung übernehmen oder direkt in den Dry-run wechseln.</p>
+        <div class="card-list">
+          ${weightedCandidates.map(candidate => {
+            const effective = Math.round((candidate.effective_weight ?? 1) * 100);
+            const currentState = candidate.state || "";
+            const stateOptions = candidate.domain === "binary_sensor"
+              ? "off,on"
+              : currentState;
+            return `
+              <article class="actuator-card">
+                <div class="card-title">
+                  <div>
+                    <strong>${escapeHtml(candidate.friendly_name || candidate.entity_id)}</strong>
+                    <div class="entity-id">${escapeHtml(candidate.entity_id)}</div>
+                  </div>
+                  <span class="chip">Simulation</span>
+                </div>
+                <label for="sim-state-${escapeHtml(candidate.entity_id)}">Simulierter Zustand</label>
+                <input id="sim-state-${escapeHtml(candidate.entity_id)}" data-sim-state-entity="${escapeHtml(candidate.entity_id)}" value="${escapeHtml(currentState)}" placeholder="on, off, 12 ...">
+                <label for="sim-options-${escapeHtml(candidate.entity_id)}">Zustände vergleichen</label>
+                <input id="sim-options-${escapeHtml(candidate.entity_id)}" data-sim-options-entity="${escapeHtml(candidate.entity_id)}" value="${escapeHtml(stateOptions)}" placeholder="on,off">
+                <label for="sim-weight-${escapeHtml(candidate.entity_id)}">Simulierte Gewichtung in %</label>
+                <input id="sim-weight-${escapeHtml(candidate.entity_id)}" data-sim-weight-entity="${escapeHtml(candidate.entity_id)}" type="number" min="0" max="100" step="5" value="${effective}">
+              </article>
+            `;
+          }).join("")}
+        </div>
+        <div class="actions">
+          <button class="secondary" onclick="simulateActuator('${escapeHtml(record.actuator_entity_id)}')">Bestes Szenario berechnen</button>
+        </div>
+        <div id="simulation-result" class="decision-list"></div>
+      </details>
+    ` : "<p class='muted'>Für die Simulation müssen zuerst Kontextsensoren ausgewählt sein.</p>";
     const currentContextControls = contexts.length
       ? `<ul>${contexts.map(entityId => `
           <li>
@@ -1510,6 +1547,7 @@ async function showActuator(actuatorId, evaluationMessage = "") {
       <h3>Sensor-Gewichtung</h3>
       ${weightControls}
       ${weightGroupControls}
+      ${simulationControls}
       <h3>Verwendete Sensoren/Zustände ändern</h3>
       ${currentContextControls}
       ${manualAssignment}
@@ -1610,6 +1648,98 @@ async function saveWeightOverrides(actuatorId, includeNewGroup = false) {
   }
 }
 
+async function simulateActuator(actuatorId) {
+  const sensorStates = {};
+  const sensorWeights = {};
+  const stateOptions = {};
+  for (const input of document.querySelectorAll("[data-sim-state-entity]")) {
+    const value = input.value.trim();
+    if (value) sensorStates[input.dataset.simStateEntity] = value;
+  }
+  for (const input of document.querySelectorAll("[data-sim-weight-entity]")) {
+    const value = Number(input.value);
+    if (Number.isFinite(value)) {
+      sensorWeights[input.dataset.simWeightEntity] = Math.max(0, Math.min(100, value)) / 100;
+    }
+  }
+  for (const input of document.querySelectorAll("[data-sim-options-entity]")) {
+    const values = input.value.split(/[,\s]+/).map(value => value.trim()).filter(Boolean);
+    if (values.length) stateOptions[input.dataset.simOptionsEntity] = values;
+  }
+  const box = document.getElementById("simulation-result");
+  box.innerHTML = "<p class='muted'>Simulation läuft ...</p>";
+  try {
+    const results = await api(`v1/actuators/${encodeURIComponent(actuatorId)}/simulate`, {
+      method: "POST",
+      body: JSON.stringify({
+        sensor_states: sensorStates,
+        sensor_weights: sensorWeights,
+        state_options: stateOptions,
+        max_results: 6,
+      }),
+    });
+    latestSimulationResults.set(actuatorId, results);
+    box.innerHTML = results.length ? results.map((result, index) => {
+      const prediction = result.prediction;
+      const factors = result.decision_factors || [];
+      return `
+        <div class="decision-row">
+          <header>
+            <strong>${index === 0 ? "Bestes Szenario" : `Szenario ${index + 1}`}</strong>
+            <span class="chip">${prediction ? `${Math.round(prediction.confidence * 100)} % · ${escapeHtml(prediction.target_state)}` : "keine Vorhersage"}</span>
+          </header>
+          <p>${escapeHtml(result.recommendation || "")}</p>
+          <p class="muted">Zustände: ${Object.entries(result.sensor_states || {}).map(([entity, state]) => `${escapeHtml(entity)}=${escapeHtml(state)}`).join(", ") || "keine"}</p>
+          <p class="muted">Gewichtung: ${Object.entries(result.sensor_weights || {}).map(([entity, weight]) => `${escapeHtml(entity)}=${Math.round(weight * 100)} %`).join(", ") || "Standard"}</p>
+          ${result.blockers?.length ? `<p class="warn">${result.blockers.map(escapeHtml).join(" ")}</p>` : "<p class='ok'>Würde nach Sicherheitsprüfung schalten.</p>"}
+          ${factors.length ? `<ul>${factors.slice(0, 4).map(factor => `<li>${escapeHtml(factor.label)}: ${Math.round((factor.contribution || 0) * 100)} % Beitrag</li>`).join("")}</ul>` : ""}
+          <div class="actions">
+            <button class="secondary compact" onclick="applySimulationWeights('${escapeHtml(actuatorId)}', '${escapeHtml(result.scenario_id)}', false)">Gewichtung übernehmen</button>
+            <button class="compact" onclick="applySimulationWeights('${escapeHtml(actuatorId)}', '${escapeHtml(result.scenario_id)}', true)">Übernehmen + Dry-run starten</button>
+          </div>
+        </div>
+      `;
+    }).join("") : "<p class='muted'>Keine Simulationsergebnisse.</p>";
+  } catch (error) {
+    box.innerHTML = `<p class="bad">${escapeHtml(error.message)}</p>`;
+  }
+}
+
+async function applySimulationWeights(actuatorId, scenarioId, startDryRun) {
+  const result = (latestSimulationResults.get(actuatorId) || [])
+    .find(item => item.scenario_id === scenarioId);
+  if (!result) {
+    alert("Simulationsergebnis ist nicht mehr verfügbar. Bitte neu simulieren.");
+    return;
+  }
+  try {
+    await api(`v1/actuators/${encodeURIComponent(actuatorId)}/weights`, {
+      method: "POST",
+      body: JSON.stringify({
+        sensor_weights: result.sensor_weights || {},
+        sensor_weight_groups: currentSensorWeightGroups,
+        note: `Aus Simulation ${scenarioId} übernommen`,
+      }),
+    });
+    if (startDryRun) {
+      await api(`v1/actuators/${encodeURIComponent(actuatorId)}/dry-run`, {
+        method: "POST",
+        body: JSON.stringify({enabled: true}),
+      });
+    }
+    invalidateDashboardCache();
+    await loadConfiguredActuators();
+    await showActuator(
+      actuatorId,
+      startDryRun
+        ? "Simulation übernommen und Dry-run gestartet."
+        : "Simulation übernommen.",
+    );
+  } catch (error) {
+    alert(error.message);
+  }
+}
+
 async function saveManualAssignment(actuatorId) {
   const numericEntityId = document.getElementById("manual-numeric-select").value || null;
   const selectedContextIds = Array.from(

pyproject.toml

@@ -4,7 +4,7 @@ build-backend = "setuptools.build_meta"
 
 [project]
 name = "sillyhome-next"
-version = "1.7.0"
+version = "1.7.3"
 description = "Lokales Smart-Home-Intelligenzsystem für Home Assistant"
 requires-python = ">=3.11"
 dependencies = [

tests/api/test_actuators.py

@@ -3,6 +3,7 @@ from __future__ import annotations
 from datetime import datetime, timedelta, timezone
 from pathlib import Path
 from time import perf_counter
+from zoneinfo import ZoneInfo
 
 import pytest
 from fastapi.testclient import TestClient
@@ -10,7 +11,7 @@ from fastapi.testclient import TestClient
 from app.api.v1.actuators import _deduplicate_actuator_ids
 from app.actuators.cache_db import DashboardCache
 from app.actuators.lifecycle import ActuatorReconciliationService
-from app.actuators.models import JobStatus, ModelSnapshot
+from app.actuators.models import BehaviorPattern, JobStatus, ModelSnapshot
 from app.actuators.store import ActuatorStore
 from app.behavior.engine import BehaviorEngine
 from app.config import Settings
@@ -272,6 +273,91 @@ def test_weight_override_endpoint_updates_sensor_relevance(tmp_path: Path) -> No
     assert numeric["sensor.abstellkammer_illuminance"]["effective_weight"] == 0.75
 
 
+def test_actuator_simulation_ranks_sensor_states_without_switching(tmp_path: Path) -> None:
+    with TestClient(app) as client:
+        _install_service(tmp_path)
+        client.post("/v1/actuators", json={"actuator_entity_id": "light.abstellkammer"})
+        client.post(
+            "/v1/actuators/light.abstellkammer/assignment",
+            json={
+                "numeric_entity_id": "sensor.abstellkammer_illuminance",
+                "context_entity_ids": ["binary_sensor.abstellkammer_motion"],
+            },
+        )
+        store = app.state.actuator_store
+        record = store.get("light.abstellkammer")
+        now = datetime.now(timezone.utc)
+        local = now.astimezone(ZoneInfo("Europe/Berlin"))
+        local_minute = local.hour * 60 + local.minute
+        patterns = [
+            BehaviorPattern(
+                target_state="on",
+                minute_of_day=local_minute,
+                weekday=now.weekday(),
+                context_states={
+                    "sensor.abstellkammer_illuminance": "12",
+                    "binary_sensor.abstellkammer_motion": "on",
+                },
+                source="user",
+                weight=1.0,
+                observed_at=now,
+            )
+            for _ in range(3)
+        ]
+        patterns.extend(
+            [
+                BehaviorPattern(
+                    target_state="off",
+                    minute_of_day=local_minute,
+                    weekday=now.weekday(),
+                    context_states={
+                        "sensor.abstellkammer_illuminance": "12",
+                        "binary_sensor.abstellkammer_motion": "off",
+                    },
+                    source="user",
+                    weight=0.5,
+                    observed_at=now,
+                )
+                for _ in range(3)
+            ]
+        )
+        store.upsert(
+            record.model_copy(
+                update={
+                    "behavior": record.behavior.model_copy(
+                        update={
+                            "patterns": patterns,
+                            "sample_count": len(patterns),
+                            "high_confidence_sample_count": len(patterns),
+                            "activation_ready": True,
+                            "activation_reason": "Testfreigabe.",
+                        }
+                    )
+                }
+            )
+        )
+
+        response = client.post(
+            "/v1/actuators/light.abstellkammer/simulate",
+            json={
+                "state_options": {"binary_sensor.abstellkammer_motion": ["off", "on"]},
+                "sensor_weights": {
+                    "binary_sensor.abstellkammer_motion": 1.0,
+                    "sensor.abstellkammer_illuminance": 0.25,
+                },
+                "max_results": 2,
+            },
+        )
+
+    assert response.status_code == 200
+    payload = response.json()
+    assert len(payload) == 2
+    assert payload[0]["prediction"]["target_state"] == "on"
+    assert payload[0]["sensor_states"]["binary_sensor.abstellkammer_motion"] == "on"
+    assert payload[0]["sensor_weights"]["sensor.abstellkammer_illuminance"] == 0.25
+    assert app.state.ha_reader.service_calls == []
+
+
 def test_safety_profile_can_block_actuator_manually(tmp_path: Path) -> None:
     with TestClient(app) as client:
         _install_service(tmp_path)

tests/test_main.py

@@ -126,6 +126,43 @@ def test_ha_event_listener_processes_state_change(tmp_path: Path) -> None:
     assert mock_app.state.ws_status.error is None
 
 
+def test_ha_event_listener_skips_unrelated_state_change(tmp_path: Path) -> None:
+    async def run_test() -> None:
+        fake_ws = _FakeWebSocket(
+            [
+                '{"type":"auth_required"}',
+                '{"type":"auth_ok"}',
+                (
+                    '{"type":"event","event":{"event_type":"state_changed",'
+                    '"data":{"entity_id":"sensor.unused","new_state":{"state":"on"}}}}'
+                ),
+                asyncio.CancelledError(),
+            ]
+        )
+
+        with patch("websockets.connect", return_value=fake_ws):
+            try:
+                await _ha_event_listener(mock_app, mock_client)
+            except asyncio.CancelledError:
+                pass
+
+    mock_app = MagicMock()
+    mock_app.state.settings = MagicMock()
+    mock_app.state.settings.ha_url = "http://homeassistant:8123"
+    mock_app.state.settings.ha_token = "test-token"
+    mock_app.state.ws_status = MagicMock()
+    mock_engine = _RecordingBehaviorEngine(tmp_path)
+    mock_app.state.behavior_engine = mock_engine
+    mock_app.state.ha_reader = _FakeHaReader()
+    mock_store = ActuatorStore(tmp_path / "store")
+    mock_store.configure("light.test")
+    mock_app.state.actuator_store = mock_store
+    mock_client = MagicMock()
+
+    anyio.run(run_test)
+    assert mock_engine.state_changes == []
+
+
 def test_lifespan_skips_event_listener_without_ha_config() -> None:
     app = FastAPI()
     app.state.settings = MagicMock()